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Red46
53915.9
210612.8
970913.4
Blue42
85908.2
25348.9
859218.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4535204060804642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#9
15.90.5
15.215.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End2.4
blue by 2.9
8592
#13
18.80.7
16.917.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Second
9709
#19
13.40.5
12.713.2
Auto7.0
Teleop4.6
End1.8
red by 4.5
2534
#12
8.90.7
8.18.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Third
2106
#14
12.80.5
11.311.8
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End0.4
red by 4.6
8590
#15
8.20.7
7.98.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed