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Red65
83615.6
42218.1
59546.6
Blue34
219916.0
832613.4
42862.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44341020506070806534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#2
18.10.5
17.317.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.3
End0.6
red by 2.2
2199
#18
16.00.2
16.216.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Second
836
#6
15.60.5
14.915.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
red by 2.3
13.40.2
13.213.4
Auto7.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Third
5954
#28
6.60.5
6.16.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
red by 4.2
4286
#29
2.40.2
2.32.4
Auto1.1
Teleop0.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed