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Red39
59546.6
859218.8
15225.3
Blue59
313617.3
409917.0
159915.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3650102030406070803959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#13
18.80.6
17.416.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
red by 1.5
17.31.7
13.715.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End1.4
Second
5954
#28DQ
6.60.6
8.27.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 10.4
17.01.7
15.116.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Third
1522
#25
5.30.6
9.08.4
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 9.8
15.11.7
15.116.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed