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Red45
832613.4
83615.6
29987.9
Blue25
6125.8
219916.0
55878.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3939203050604525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#6
15.61.0
17.618.6
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
blue by 0.3
2199
#18
16.01.1
14.713.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Second
13.41.0
7.68.6
Auto7.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
red by 5.2
5587
#22
8.11.1
9.78.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Third
2998
#24
7.91.0
10.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.3
red by 2.1
612
#27
5.81.1
10.99.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed