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Red78
859218.8
173133.6
29987.9
Blue68
62014.0
210612.8
55878.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68300204060801001207868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.5
32.432.9
Auto15.7
Teleop15.1
End2.8
red by 19.6
620
#10
14.00.8
12.913.7
Auto2.3
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Second
8592
#13
18.80.5
17.618.1
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
red by 6.0
2106
#14
12.80.7
11.812.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End0.4
Third
2998
#24
7.90.5
6.77.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.3
blue by 0.3
5587
#22
8.10.7
7.27.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.2