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Red38
313617.3
189518.5
15225.3
Blue33
337311.9
24215.2
832613.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49310204060801003833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.2
19.018.7
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End0.2
red by 5.1
13.40.1
13.413.3
Auto7.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Second
17.30.2
17.817.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End1.4
red by 5.4
3373
#23
11.90.1
11.911.8
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Third
1522
#25
5.30.2
5.85.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End0.6
red by 0.1
2421
#26
5.20.1
5.25.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.5
End1.9