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Red40
5403.4
25348.9
53915.9
Blue41
337311.9
24215.2
832613.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313401020405060704041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#9
15.90.0
15.815.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End2.4
red by 2.5
13.40.0
13.313.3
Auto7.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Second
2534
#12
8.90.0
8.98.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 3.0
3373
#23
11.90.0
11.811.9
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Third
540
#16
3.40.0
3.43.4
Auto2.3
Teleop0.8
End0.4
blue by 1.8
2421
#26
5.20.0
5.15.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.5
End1.9