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Red52
44921.4
680221.1
94035.4
Blue38
61944.9
580424.7
457512.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4334102030405060705238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#4
21.41.3
16.417.7
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
blue by 3.3
24.70.6
19.019.6
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End2.2
Second
21.11.3
15.316.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.9
red by 9.0
4575
#11
12.10.6
9.910.5
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Third
9403
#17
5.41.3
6.37.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
red by 0.5
6194
#16
4.90.6
3.34.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed