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Red54
17937.6
162926.4
61898.3
Blue29
393915.4
18853.9
58306.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42341020305060705429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.5
22.423.9
Auto11.2
Teleop14.1
End1.0
red by 10.9
15.41.3
17.916.6
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Second
6189
#21
8.31.5
6.68.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End1.2
red by 1.4
5830
#20
6.81.2
7.96.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Third
1793
#18
7.61.5
8.19.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.4
red by 3.7
1885
#25
3.91.2
6.14.8
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed