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Red25
445612.0
90039.6
82308.4
Blue30
61944.9
44921.4
393915.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3552204060802530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4456
#19
12.01.4
13.411.9
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End1.9
blue by 9.5
449
#4
21.41.5
21.520.0
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Second
9003
#24
9.61.4
9.07.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 5.8
15.41.5
16.615.0
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Third
8230
#22
8.41.4
11.49.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 3.5
6194
#16
4.91.5
6.75.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed