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Red14
12629.2
97713.5
44921.4
Blue15
58306.8
61944.9
17937.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60502040801415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#4
21.42.5
21.118.6
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 13.8
1793
#18
7.60.3
4.54.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.4
Second
977
#10
13.52.5
13.611.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
red by 6.7
5830
#20
6.80.3
5.05.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Third
1262
#13
9.22.5
12.910.5
Auto0.6
Teleop5.9
End2.7
red by 4.3
6194
#16
4.90.3
1.82.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed