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Red52
97713.5
61898.3
680221.1
Blue34
1418.8
82308.4
44921.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46410102030506070805234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.3
20.620.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.9
blue by 0.3
449
#4
21.41.0
20.419.3
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Second
977
#10
13.50.3
11.110.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
red by 4.7
141
#14
8.81.0
9.48.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Third
6189
#21
8.30.3
9.49.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 0.2
8230
#22
8.41.0
7.66.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed