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Red26
90336.8
44921.4
12629.2
Blue56
108618.0
336111.0
445612.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42410102030506070802656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#4
21.41.1
19.318.2
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 3.4
18.00.9
16.417.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Second
1262
#13
9.21.1
10.19.0
Auto0.6
Teleop5.9
End2.7
blue by 2.8
4456
#19
12.00.9
11.112.0
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End1.9
Third
9033
#23
6.81.1
8.47.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End0.5
blue by 4.2
3361
#15
11.00.9
9.310.3
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed