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Red90
949630.2
82308.4
44921.4
Blue64
90039.6
108618.0
680221.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65512040801001209064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.7
29.129.8
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End0.9
red by 9.1
21.10.4
20.721.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Second
449
#4
21.40.7
20.321.0
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 3.4
18.00.4
17.618.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Third
8230
#22
8.40.7
7.38.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 1.2
9003
#24
9.60.4
9.29.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End2.2