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Red47
393920.8
40122.8
99757.3
Blue39
314018.8
97714.3
99767.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604501001502002503003504739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
red by 4.0
3140
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
Second
3939
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 6.5
977
Unranked
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End-0.5
Third
9975
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Level
9976
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5