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Red12
99987.3
264011.3
99757.3
Blue46
314018.8
97714.3
99767.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255001001502002503001246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End1.2
blue by 7.5
3140
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
Second
9975
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
blue by 7.0
977
Unranked
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End-0.5
Third
9998
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Level
9976
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5