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Red41
97714.3
314018.8
393920.8
Blue0
126220.6
264011.3
99977.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6333050100150200410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3939
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 0.2
1262
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
Second
3140
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
red by 7.5
2640
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Third
977
Unranked
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End-0.5
red by 7.0
9997
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody odds8%Melody odds
Ensemble
5%Ensemble odds27%Ensemble odds