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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434002060801001205241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#8
23.50.9
21.021.9
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.8
red by 2.7
620
#6
20.80.0
18.918.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.8
Second
623
#22
11.40.9
8.09.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
red by 1.9
3359
#34
9.50.0
10.610.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Third
1915
#31
8.80.9
9.310.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.1
red by 2.0
2900
#27
6.80.0
7.17.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed