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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515140455560653839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.7
20.119.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End0.7
blue by 5.5
25.60.6
25.324.7
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Second
9235
#26
14.70.7
15.214.5
Auto6.7
Teleop7.0
End0.9
red by 3.1
2028
#11
11.60.6
11.811.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Third
8230
#30
10.50.7
10.910.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
red by 1.7
1915
#31
8.80.6
9.48.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed