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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1014002060801201401608760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.0
44.244.1
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
red by 24.6
20.20.3
19.920.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End0.7
Second
26.80.0
26.226.2
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End6.4
red by 12.3
2186
#16
14.60.3
14.214.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Third
2421
#25
14.20.0
13.613.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
red by 4.3
5243
#23
9.90.3
9.59.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9