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Red50
53919.9
97716.0
99944.8
Blue80
479531.8
600411.3
842914.9
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29870204060801001201401605080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#24
19.90.8
19.420.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.5
blue by 11.9
31.81.5
37.836.3
Auto11.8
Teleop18.7
End1.3
Second
977
#9
16.00.8
13.514.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End-0.2
red by 1.1
8429
#10
14.91.5
19.117.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.0
Third
9994
#15
4.81.3
5.36.6
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 6.5
6004
#32
11.31.5
15.113.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed