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Red66
580430.9
15225.8
99994.8
Blue21
9998-1.5
61916.9
42223.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594902040801006621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#11
30.91.2
38.036.8
Auto9.7
Teleop18.3
End2.9
red by 7.1
422
#19
23.82.0
26.124.1
Auto6.7
Teleop16.4
End0.7
Second
1522
#17
5.81.2
8.67.4
Auto1.4
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 11.1
619
#18
16.92.0
18.716.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
9999
#21
4.82.0
7.55.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End0.2
red by 6.4
9998
#29
-1.53.4
1.8-1.6
Auto0.6
Teleop-3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed