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Red77
289013.4
236320.0
373716.5
Blue55
337322.5
580430.9
99944.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5466204060801007755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.1
20.420.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End5.4
blue by 10.8
5804
#11
30.90.5
35.635.1
Auto9.7
Teleop18.3
End2.9
Second
16.50.1
15.515.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.9
End1.4
blue by 6.0
3373
#25
22.50.5
22.021.5
Auto10.3
Teleop9.7
End2.5
Third
2890
#27
13.40.1
14.214.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
red by 8.6
9994
#15
4.80.8
4.83.9
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed