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Red49
97716.0
600411.3
580430.9
Blue54
313622.7
159922.2
3399.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746002040801001201404954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#11
30.91.0
35.134.1
Auto9.7
Teleop18.3
End2.9
red by 8.1
3136
#26
22.70.1
23.523.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End1.9
Second
977
#9
16.01.0
16.615.6
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End-0.2
blue by 6.2
1599
#12
22.20.1
21.921.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Third
6004
#32
11.31.0
12.311.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.7
End1.0
red by 1.5
339
#20
9.80.1
10.210.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed