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Red65
42223.8
99944.8
903221.2
Blue19
17938.2
40115.2
99994.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50290204060801001206519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#19
23.80.5
23.624.1
Auto6.7
Teleop16.4
End0.7
red by 8.6
401
#23
15.21.0
15.914.9
Auto6.9
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Second
9032
#14
21.20.5
19.520.0
Auto9.2
Teleop9.7
End2.3
red by 12.9
1793
#22
8.21.0
9.28.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Third
9994
#15
4.80.9
3.94.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Level
9999
#21
4.81.7
5.03.3
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed