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Red38
15225.8
3399.8
337322.5
Blue56
17938.2
159922.2
842914.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516102040801001201403856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3373
#25
22.50.6
24.423.8
Auto10.3
Teleop9.7
End2.5
red by 0.3
1599
#12
22.20.1
24.724.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Second
339
#20
9.80.6
12.812.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 5.1
8429
#10
14.90.1
19.719.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.0
Third
1522
#17
5.80.6
10.09.4
Auto1.4
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 2.4
1793
#22
8.20.1
9.59.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed