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Red66
479531.8
12225.4
373716.5
Blue31
61916.9
313622.7
40115.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99750501506631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.4
39.137.8
Auto11.8
Teleop18.7
End1.3
red by 9.1
3136
#26
22.73.1
26.223.2
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End1.9
Second
122
#6
25.41.4
28.927.5
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End2.1
red by 8.5
619
#18
16.93.1
21.218.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
16.51.4
18.717.3
Auto6.2
Teleop8.9
End1.4
red by 1.3
401
#23
15.23.1
22.819.7
Auto6.9
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed