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Red37
313622.7
3399.8
842914.9
Blue76
61916.9
903221.2
202812.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53542030406070803776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#26
22.70.3
23.022.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End1.9
red by 1.6
9032
#14
21.20.5
20.420.9
Auto9.2
Teleop9.7
End2.3
Second
8429
#10
14.90.3
15.214.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.0
blue by 2.0
619
#18
16.90.5
16.116.6
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
339
#20
9.80.3
10.19.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 2.4
12.10.5
11.311.8
Auto5.8
Teleop4.9
End1.4