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Red71
210627.8
206813.1
533820.7
Blue35
5404.3
393917.3
68827.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452004060807135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.81.2
12.814.0
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End0.3
red by 10.5
17.30.2
15.415.7
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Second
20.72.0
13.715.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 13.0
6882
#20
7.70.2
2.62.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Third
2068
#21
13.11.2
11.412.6
Auto7.0
Teleop5.3
End0.8
red by 8.8
540
#22
4.30.2
3.43.7
Auto2.8
Teleop0.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned