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Red53
313628.6
336113.8
970918.0
Blue16
59548.1
159919.4
4046.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47290204060805316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.8
17.418.3
Auto9.8
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 9.2
19.40.8
15.214.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Second
9709
#12
18.00.8
13.314.2
Auto10.5
Teleop5.3
End2.2
red by 9.9
5954
#28
8.10.8
6.55.7
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Third
3361
#16
13.80.8
9.810.6
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End1.7
red by 7.5
404
#30
6.30.8
6.75.9
Auto1.1
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed