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Red61
42866.3
210627.8
218611.9
Blue51
289019.9
572419.9
393917.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285101020406070806151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.82.2
14.316.5
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End0.3
red by 7.9
2890
#14
19.90.5
16.316.8
Auto6.7
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Second
11.93.7
10.314.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End2.6
blue by 8.0
5724
#10
19.90.5
11.111.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
4286
#19
6.32.2
3.15.3
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End0.9
blue by 11.1
17.30.5
15.816.3
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed