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Red46
206813.1
126216.0
336113.8
Blue77
533820.7
161015.2
572419.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4153102030607080904677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#11
16.00.5
14.414.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.9
blue by 4.7
20.72.0
17.819.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Second
3361
#16
13.80.5
11.411.9
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End1.7
blue by 6.2
5724
#10
19.91.4
16.317.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
2068
#21
13.10.5
12.813.3
Auto7.0
Teleop5.3
End0.8
blue by 2.2
15.21.4
12.714.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned