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Red66
533820.7
447217.5
970918.0
Blue36
108619.9
218611.9
152210.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624320801006636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.4
20.020.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 0.7
1086
#13
19.90.7
19.118.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
9709
#12
18.00.4
17.417.8
Auto10.5
Teleop5.3
End2.2
red by 6.1
11.90.9
11.911.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End2.6
Third
4472
#17
17.50.5
16.116.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End0.9
red by 7.5
1522
#23
10.00.7
10.59.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed