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Red50
393917.3
680221.1
206813.1
Blue31
97715.0
572419.9
108619.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55450204060801005031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6802
#15
21.10.1
19.920.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End2.1
red by 1.2
1086
#13
19.90.7
17.917.1
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
17.30.1
15.715.8
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End2.0
blue by 2.6
5724
#10
19.90.7
11.811.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
2068
#21
13.10.1
12.612.7
Auto7.0
Teleop5.3
End0.8
blue by 1.9
977
#24
15.00.7
12.411.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed