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Red56
970918.0
533820.7
152210.0
Blue49
393917.3
206813.1
336113.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5548203040607080901005649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.2
20.821.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 3.3
17.30.1
17.417.3
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Second
9709
#12
18.00.2
18.118.3
Auto10.5
Teleop5.3
End2.2
red by 4.2
3361
#16
13.80.1
13.913.8
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Third
1522
#23
10.00.2
10.110.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End0.3
blue by 3.1
2068
#21
13.10.1
13.213.1
Auto7.0
Teleop5.3
End0.8