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Red36
970918.0
533820.7
152210.0
Blue78
159919.4
108619.9
97715.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546002040801001201403678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.3
21.020.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 0.7
1086
#13
19.90.4
19.720.1
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
9709
#12
18.00.3
18.318.0
Auto10.5
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 1.4
19.40.4
19.119.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Third
1522
#23
10.00.3
10.310.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End0.3
blue by 5.0
977
#24
15.00.4
14.815.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.1