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Red55
61948.1
161015.2
572419.9
Blue49
393917.3
206813.1
336113.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475001001502005549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#10
19.90.1
19.919.8
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
red by 2.6
17.30.1
17.517.4
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Second
15.20.1
15.215.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.2
red by 1.5
3361
#16
13.80.1
14.013.8
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Third
6194
#25
8.10.1
8.08.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End0.9
blue by 5.0
2068
#21
13.10.1
13.313.1
Auto7.0
Teleop5.3
End0.8