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Red76
970918.0
533820.7
152210.0
Blue70
159919.4
108619.9
97715.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545435404550606570757670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.4
20.520.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 0.7
1086
#13
19.90.4
18.418.9
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
9709
#12
18.00.4
17.818.1
Auto10.5
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 1.4
19.40.4
17.818.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Third
1522
#23
10.00.4
9.810.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End0.3
blue by 5.0
977
#24
15.00.4
13.513.9
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.1