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Red81
42226.6
34626.5
33596.2
Blue21
236321.6
554914.5
29885.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67442060801001208121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
26.60.4
26.226.6
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
red by 5.0
21.60.5
22.121.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.1
End4.6
Second
346
#3
26.50.4
26.126.5
Auto10.6
Teleop11.5
End4.4
red by 12.1
14.50.5
14.914.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Third
3359
#13
6.20.4
5.86.2
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End1.4
red by 0.9
2988
#20
5.30.5
5.85.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End-0.3