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Red24
29885.3
6118.0
17939.5
Blue68
206811.4
618910.1
42226.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274402060801002468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1793
#15
9.50.2
6.86.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 17.1
422
#1
26.61.4
20.822.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Second
611
#12
8.00.3
11.010.7
Auto1.4
Teleop5.7
End0.9
blue by 3.4
2068
#17
11.42.3
11.313.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Third
2988
#20
5.30.3
8.78.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End-0.3
blue by 4.8
6189
#11
10.11.4
5.67.0
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned