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Red32
289016.0
61913.9
29124.2
Blue18
68822.6
12214.9
6118.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832102040503218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.00.4
10.611.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.5
red by 1.0
122
#7
14.91.2
14.813.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.2
End2.4
Second
619
#9
13.90.4
12.713.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End0.9
red by 5.9
611
#12
8.01.2
10.69.5
Auto1.4
Teleop5.7
End0.9
Third
2912
#22
4.20.4
2.73.1
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End1.2
red by 1.6
6882
#23
2.61.2
3.32.1
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed