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Red29
190810.7
4046.4
19159.7
Blue50
29124.2
161013.5
42226.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344202060801001202950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1908
#18
10.70.5
13.112.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.3
blue by 15.9
422
#1
26.60.9
22.823.7
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Second
1915
#14
9.70.5
14.614.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End-0.2
blue by 3.8
13.51.5
10.812.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Third
404
#10
6.40.5
3.63.1
Auto0.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3
red by 2.2
2912
#22
4.21.4
3.14.5
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed