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Red54
42226.6
19159.7
61913.9
Blue10
33596.2
6233.4
206811.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6221040801005410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
26.60.5
23.723.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
red by 15.2
2068
#17
11.41.4
11.39.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Second
619
#9
13.90.7
13.212.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End0.9
red by 7.6
3359
#13
6.21.4
5.94.5
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End1.4
Third
1915
#14
9.70.7
14.113.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End-0.2
red by 6.3
623
#16
3.41.4
6.75.3
Auto1.1
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed