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Red34
618910.1
29885.3
61913.9
Blue39
289016.0
923510.0
206811.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283901020506070803439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#9
13.90.6
11.111.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End0.9
blue by 2.1
16.00.4
14.314.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Second
6189
#11
10.10.5
8.69.2
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 1.3
2068
#17
11.40.4
9.910.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Third
2988
#20
5.30.6
6.67.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End-0.3
blue by 4.7
9235
#21
10.00.4
9.710.1
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed