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Red1
4046.4
33596.2
68822.6
Blue48
42226.6
29885.3
6233.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22510406080148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
404
#10
6.42.5
9.57.0
Auto0.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3
blue by 20.2
422
#1
26.60.3
18.918.6
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Second
3359
#13
6.22.5
7.14.6
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End1.4
red by 0.9
2988
#20
5.30.5
8.98.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End-0.3
Third
6882
#23
2.62.5
6.84.3
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.5
blue by 0.8
623
#16
3.40.5
14.614.1
Auto1.1
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned