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Red44
17939.5
190810.7
618910.1
Blue45
61913.9
4046.4
923510.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33310204060801004445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1908
#18
10.70.1
10.610.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.3
blue by 3.2
619
#9
13.90.4
13.313.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Second
6189
#11
10.10.1
10.010.1
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 0.1
9235
#21
10.00.4
9.49.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Third
1793
#15
9.50.1
9.49.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End1.0
red by 3.0
404
#10
6.40.4
5.86.2
Auto0.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3