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Red32
19159.7
206811.4
6118.0
Blue42
900313.8
289016.0
6233.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313601020405060703242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2068
#17
11.40.1
11.311.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End0.7
blue by 4.5
16.00.1
15.515.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Second
1915
#14
9.70.1
9.69.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End-0.2
blue by 4.1
13.80.1
13.313.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Third
611
#12
8.00.1
7.98.0
Auto1.4
Teleop5.7
End0.9
red by 4.6
623
#16
3.40.1
3.03.1
Auto1.1
Teleop1.4
End0.9