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Red60
29885.3
554914.5
236321.6
Blue37
618910.1
190810.7
17939.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51300204060806037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.4
22.522.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.1
End4.6
red by 10.9
1908
#18
10.70.0
10.610.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Second
14.50.4
15.315.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End1.3
red by 4.3
6189
#11
10.10.0
10.010.0
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Third
2988
#20
5.30.4
6.26.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End-0.3
blue by 4.1
1793
#15
9.50.0
9.39.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End1.0