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Red68
902310.3
198323.4
297614.9
Blue59
52959.3
307028.0
366327.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4975204060801001206859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#15
23.40.5
23.023.4
Auto11.5
Teleop9.6
End2.3
blue by 4.7
28.00.2
27.827.6
Auto11.8
Teleop14.5
End1.8
Second
2976
#30
14.90.5
14.515.0
Auto7.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
blue by 12.8
27.80.2
27.527.4
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End1.9
Third
9023
#12
10.30.5
9.910.4
Auto6.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 1.1
5295
#25
9.30.2
9.08.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End1.1