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Red32
189913.3
142518.6
297614.9
Blue8
88961.0
49118.2
29294.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422801020506070328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#11
18.60.5
11.711.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.0
red by 10.4
4911
#21
8.22.3
15.613.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Second
2976
#30
14.90.5
10.610.2
Auto7.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
red by 10.3
2929
#29
4.62.3
4.52.2
Auto4.1
Teleop1.0
End-0.5
Third
1899
#22
13.30.5
14.013.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 12.3
8896
#35
1.02.3
6.84.5
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed